Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000221 0.000245 0.000271 0.000300 0.000334 0.000370 0.000413
2025-10-05 0.000180 0.000215 0.000256 0.000308 0.000373 0.000450 0.000549
2025-10-12 0.000154 0.000195 0.000246 0.000314 0.000405 0.000521 0.000685
2025-10-19 0.000134 0.000176 0.000232 0.000312 0.000423 0.000575 0.000803
2025-10-26 0.000120 0.000164 0.000225 0.000315 0.000447 0.000637 0.000939
2025-11-02 0.000107 0.000152 0.000214 0.000311 0.000459 0.000682 0.001055
2025-11-09 0.000098 0.000142 0.000206 0.000310 0.000474 0.000733 0.001186
2025-11-16 0.000089 0.000132 0.000197 0.000304 0.000481 0.000771 0.001301
2025-11-23 0.000080 0.000122 0.000187 0.000296 0.000483 0.000800 0.001402
2025-11-30 0.000076 0.000118 0.000185 0.000301 0.000506 0.000867 0.001584
2025-12-07 0.000072 0.000115 0.000183 0.000307 0.000532 0.000941 0.001789
2025-12-14 0.000067 0.000108 0.000177 0.000303 0.000538 0.000981 0.001931
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000100 0.000167 0.000292 0.000534 0.001002 0.002046
2025-12-28 0.000058 0.000098 0.000166 0.000299 0.000562 0.001092 0.002327
2026-01-04 0.000055 0.000095 0.000165 0.000304 0.000589 0.001183 0.002629
2026-01-11 0.000052 0.000090 0.000160 0.000301 0.000600 0.001243 0.002869
2026-01-18 0.000049 0.000087 0.000158 0.000304 0.000622 0.001330 0.003195
2026-01-25 0.000046 0.000083 0.000152 0.000300 0.000629 0.001383 0.003446
2026-02-01 0.000043 0.000080 0.000149 0.000299 0.000642 0.001453 0.003755
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000076 0.000144 0.000294 0.000645 0.001499 0.004006
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000071 0.000137 0.000286 0.000641 0.001526 0.004212
2026-02-22 0.000037 0.000070 0.000137 0.000291 0.000668 0.001636 0.004692
2026-03-01 0.000036 0.000069 0.000137 0.000297 0.000698 0.001760 0.005248